A skeptic wants to be a believer
#16
Posted 03 April 2009 - 11:38 PM
#17
Posted 28 July 2009 - 11:16 AM
#18
Posted 18 August 2009 - 11:54 AM
simman, on Mar 21 2009, 12:51 AM, said:
Nothing in science is based on absolute proof. The notion of hypothesis is to prove something based on other proofs. It is like a tree of ideas all stemming from previously analyzed similarities. If you think about it though, if there is an ounce of falseness in the proofs we go upon to rationalize other proofs, then the result will be fiction.
So is the goal to prove? Perhaps it is more important to understand. You know what I mean?
#19
Posted 15 September 2009 - 02:26 AM
Thank you for not feeding the trolls
#20
Posted 15 September 2009 - 03:43 AM
PHANTOM MONK, on Jul 29 2009, 12:16 AM, said:
If believing is where it starts, then anything goes. If you claim that things are real merely on the basis of a personal belief, then there is as much reason to assume the actual existence of flying dragons, smurfs, hobbits, elfs, gnomes, Santa and any number of gods as there is to assume the existence of ghosts. If your belief is where it all starts how do you know whether or not the ghost you see is a delusion or the result of self-suggestion? But even if ghosts, for some weird reason, choose to only appear to people who believe in them (why???), we can still test the experiences of believers in ways that will tell us something about the likelihood they are actually sharing an experience that originates outside themselves. E.g, you could bring a substantial number of believers, independently of each other, to a supposedly haunted location unknown to them. For a decent test, you would not only need to take them to the haunted place, but also to three or four (the more the better) non-haunted locations, of course without telling them which is which. Will they all identify the right location as haunted? Do they report similar experiences and observations? Do they only report these experiences for the haunted location, or for other locations too? Even better would be to repeat the entire experiment with a matched group of non-believers. Mind you, and this has been pointed out before, even if all the believers identify the right house as haunted and report similar experiences there, that in itself still does not prove that their experiences are indeed ghostly in origin.
Reality has a habit of being observable and pretty consistent; that's why evidence works so well to distinguish fantasy from fact.
Furthermore, if you can provide that evidence (and I'm talking about solid evidence, not just anecdotes) you won't turn a skeptic into a believer, because belief is then no longer required: you've shown your belief to be based in fact. That the earth is flat and has the sun revolving around it were notions merely based on superficial observation and belief; that the earth is a globe and revolves around the sun are facts based on irrefutable evidence (facts that made a lot of believers unhappy because they didn't fit their notion of earth as the center of creation).
To get such evidence an investigator doesn't need to be "a little skeptical", he or she needs to be thoroughly skeptical - a good investigator is himself the fiercest critic of his findings. It is not enough to ask yourself whether there could have been an atmospheric cause for an anomaly - you need to methodically rule out the possibility of such a cause, and be able to show to others looking at your findings how you did that. And even if you effectively ruled out all alternative causes of the anomaly, again, that still doesn't prove in any way that the anomaly is a ghost.
#21
Posted 22 October 2009 - 01:35 PM
Some skeptics may never have enough evidence to change their mind, and that's fine. It can't be forced. It's just like anything else; either you believe, question, or dismiss totally. I'm still totally a skeptic when watching investigations on tv, only to consider the evidence when presented at the moment of dicovery, if strong enough, or during later analysis.
I don't think one should believe for the sake of believing. That's a totally false approach in my oppinion. I know from experience.
If you want to believe, just keep at it. Hopefully that moment will come someday. Just keep an open mind if possible.
#22
Posted 23 October 2009 - 03:47 AM
In the end, open- or close-mindedness are irrelevant as long as we can agree on standards for good evidence. The reason that many skeptics appear 'close-minded' to believers is, it seems to me, that generally true skeptics maintain far stricter criteria when it comes to evidence than believers do. Personal stoories are not good enough. But it's worse than that. Again I repeat: even if an anomaly is objectively detected in a photograph or something, under rigouroulsy controlled circumstances, the question remains how you can possibly know that that anomaly is a ghost. This basic question, the question of validity (how do you know you are measuring what you say you are measuring), is completely ignored by believers presenting evidence. Worse, even though the most basic, credible evidence for the existence of ghosts is lacking, believers are at the ready with extensive theories about poltergeists and hauntings, or, like in fatman's post, 'intelligent' and 'residual' ghosts. On what evidence are these theories based? How do we know these things? How can we classify a phenomenon that itself remains totally unproven?
#23
Posted 23 October 2009 - 08:15 AM
stevenedel, on Oct 23 2009, 03:47 AM, said:
In the end, open- or close-mindedness are irrelevant as long as we can agree on standards for good evidence. The reason that many skeptics appear 'close-minded' to believers is, it seems to me, that generally true skeptics maintain far stricter criteria when it comes to evidence than believers do. Personal stoories are not good enough. But it's worse than that. Again I repeat: even if an anomaly is objectively detected in a photograph or something, under rigouroulsy controlled circumstances, the question remains how you can possibly know that that anomaly is a ghost. This basic question, the question of validity (how do you know you are measuring what you say you are measuring), is completely ignored by believers presenting evidence. Worse, even though the most basic, credible evidence for the existence of ghosts is lacking, believers are at the ready with extensive theories about poltergeists and hauntings, or, like in fatman's post, 'intelligent' and 'residual' ghosts. On what evidence are these theories based? How do we know these things? How can we classify a phenomenon that itself remains totally unproven?
In changing a believer's mind, depending on their experiences and the logic the person, that would be the same in reverse of changing a skeptic's mind.
Like I said, I do agree with you almost completely. I hate it when when all orbs are seriously considered, when "out of the corner of my eye" apparitions are deemed ghost, and such. And I'm highly critical of those who present afterlife rules or whatever as fact. They...don't...know. But you can't discount all experiences. My experiences happened, there's no logical explanation for them, and until I find that logical explanation (and I have constantly flipped reasoning over and over in my mind) no one can change my mind with just "Well, maybe what happened was...". In the context of my experiences, and you weren't there, I know what I saw.
Go check out my story under the "Encounters" section for 2009 and look for "Chasing a ghost in Houston". You'll then know at least one of my experiences.
And since I have a sense of humor without borders, I also look at things from a comedic side as well. So if a female ghost came on to me and we had "ghost sex", would tha tbe considered cheating or necrophilia?
#24
Posted 23 October 2009 - 11:05 AM
fatman, on Oct 23 2009, 08:15 PM, said:
fatman, on Oct 23 2009, 08:15 PM, said:
You say there was no logical explanation for it, which is a statement made very often by people who tell about their experiences, and which doesn't cease to amaze me. Saying that is tantamount to saying you are expert in every conceivable branch of science. It means you are actually aware of every possible logical explanation there could be. I hope you will excuse me for not believing that. The fact that you cannot find a natural explanation for something doesn't mean no such explanation exists. And even if no such explanation exists, I again repeat myself, that still doesn't imply that it was 'therefore' a ghost.
fatman, on Oct 23 2009, 08:15 PM, said:
#25
Posted 23 October 2009 - 05:42 PM
stevenedel, on Oct 23 2009, 01:47 AM, said:
I really feel that even if somebody believes in earthbound spirits they still have something that will keep them a bit skeptical. Same thing goes the other way. If someone is skeptical there is always something that leaves them wondering if earthbound spirits exist. That's why most of those with any interest in the paranormal fall somewhere in that "gray area" between.
#26
Posted 23 October 2009 - 11:26 PM
I saw what I consider my personal evidence right in fron of me, but how do I disect it? There were no what I consider preconditional reasons I can remember, such as ghost discussion, thought or anything like that. When I say, and I'm sure when others say it, that there is no logical reason, I mean what I can think of. There's no implying knowledge of all possible factors. You have to take it as the person accounting for what they know of the situation of their experience. If it wasn't a ghost, what caused my mind to see what I saw at the time I saw it?
I don't lose sleep over it, though. I'm a very rational person, so whenever the memory comes to mind, I go to work on it in that moment. I rethink it and re-live it without trying to add anything new to my memory, then I move on after new consideration. That experience and the three others afterwards will be with me for the rest of my life and I'm always going to wonder what they were and why they happened.
I know hardcore evidence is the key to changing minds, but most experiences are of the moment. If you aren't a ghost hunter, you most likely won't have equipment at the ready to record the experience. I wish I did. The other possibility would be additional witnesses to a situation. I do have one experience like that. Then again it's only testimonials that this didn't happen or that didn't happen leading up to the experience.
The mind is a powerful thing. I have always been skeptical of possessions. I still think it's some sort of mind freak-out, but others have their oppinions.
Axman, I live in that gray area. Even as a believer I'm skeptical about lots of stories and evidence. I even discounted my wife's story about her deceased grandmother sitting on her bead since it was possibly a dream, but she experienced what she did, so that's her story to cherish.
Stevenedel, my story is posted under "Chasing a Ghost - Houston, Texas" in the Encounters section on the tool bar for the year 2009 on the home page. It's about 25 postings down on the left hand side of the page.
Excuse any typing mistakes. Lately, I haven't been able to see very well, so the spelling may be off.
#27
Posted 24 October 2009 - 07:35 PM
fatman, on Oct 23 2009, 09:26 PM, said:
I'm the same way, I believe that spirits exist and some are earthbound. It's evidence and personal experiences that undergo my scrutiny. Mainly because I don't want others to be duped into thinking that they have the answer. I find it harder to believe that when we die, we just cease to exist.
#28
Posted 24 October 2009 - 10:18 PM
Axman, on Oct 24 2009, 07:35 PM, said:
fatman, on Oct 23 2009, 09:26 PM, said:
I'm the same way, I believe that spirits exist and some are earthbound. It's evidence and personal experiences that undergo my scrutiny. Mainly because I don't want others to be duped into thinking that they have the answer. I find it harder to believe that when we die, we just cease to exist.
Axman, as an atheist, I used to believe that when we died, we died. After my experiences, reconsidering my family's experiences, and addition research and exposure to the experiences of others, I believe there's something more afterwards. What it is I don't know. Too many people offer up senarios about the afterlife as fact. In my head, I know they don't know, so it's "Yeah, yeah; whatever." I take what they have to say and use my own analysis to break that down into what I think is plausible. I take the word of no one about what comes after we die. It's all speculation, but at least we have what we consider evidence of what there might be.
Just to lest you know about an experience in my family, my mother saw the spirit of my oldest brother who dided in 1996. It was during the day while wasing dishes. She sensed someone looking at her and looked to her right and saw what she believed to be my brother looking at her from the hallway. She said "Oh, it'ws you; what are you doing here?" (She's rather used to these kind of occurances.) She said he told her in the form of letting his words become thought to her that he was going farther away now. She asked him if he would ever come back and he said he didn't think so. With that she leaned into where he was and hugged him. She said he turned around in the hall (that leads to the bedroom where he died from a seisure) and as he did she patted him where she though his butt would be. And that's that. She hasn't seen him since.
It's not undeniable proof, but it's my mother's experience and that's proof to her. Maybe me as well.
#29
Posted 24 October 2009 - 10:54 PM
Edited by Axman, 24 October 2009 - 10:55 PM.
#30
Posted 25 October 2009 - 12:50 PM
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